Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.215637 1.375280 1.550161 1.756302 1.993090 2.257088 2.574436
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.981404 1.198821 1.457902 1.790920 2.209816 2.722126 3.400503
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.831039 1.067102 1.364341 1.769032 2.310182 3.015169 4.013466
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.739338 0.988747 1.317284 1.786383 2.446528 3.353638 4.713927
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.655424 0.906860 1.250867 1.762263 2.514040 3.595664 5.300699
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.591804 0.843841 1.200470 1.750092 2.590456 3.851053 5.931222
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.521324 0.762679 1.114173 1.672977 2.557016 3.932351 6.295143
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.488832 0.733598 1.100430 1.702042 2.687064 4.277183 7.123759
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.461743 0.709595 1.091141 1.735458 2.825228 4.647405 8.040757
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.433565 0.680945 1.071257 1.748426 2.928840 4.968511 8.910682
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.407629 0.653357 1.050107 1.756178 3.022613 5.280431 9.802402
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.389097 0.636131 1.044081 1.788442 3.161701 5.687109 10.928149
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.359769 0.598925 1.002100 1.754843 3.180200 5.878074 11.666418
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.345729 0.586824 1.002379 1.797715 3.346850 6.372608 13.105789
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.322933 0.557397 0.969362 1.775022 3.383482 6.613073 14.035670
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.308156 0.541032 0.958288 1.792501 3.500731 7.029822 15.417390
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.288984 0.515128 0.927458 1.768285 3.529788 7.263937 16.413753
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.273054 0.494019 0.903867 1.756068 3.582134 7.553515 17.585745
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.250488 0.458779 0.850628 1.678663 3.486564 7.503430 17.913618
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.242275 0.450442 0.848914 1.707838 3.627155 8.006167 19.722892
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.235065 0.443499 0.849328 1.741379 3.780900 8.558282 21.754804
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.226134 0.432492 0.840676 1.754396 3.888696 9.013275 23.601651
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.217275 0.420997 0.830128 1.762177 3.984843 9.451292 25.477195